Tuesday, October 21, 2008

BREAKING: McCain concedes CO, NM, and IA - letting it all ride on PA

With 14 days to go until the election, CNN is reporting this morning that McCain has conceded to Obama all but a clear path to victory.

Per CNN: McCain could begin pulling resources this week from Colorado, New Mexico, and Iowa - all states that went to Bush in 2004 - to focus on a bigger state, Pennsylvania.

As I wrote earlier this week, Obama's easiest path to victory is to hold all the states Kerry won in 2004, and add New Mexico, Iowa, and one other swing state - like Colorado.

Today's decision by the McCain campaign means that if Obama holds Pennsylvania (where he currently leads by double digits), he will win the election.

Guess I'm going back to Scranton.

UPDATE on the McCain PA strategy from 538.com

Also, I signed up for a trip this Saturday to Wilkes-Barre, PA, a small working-class community south of Scranton where Obama struggled during the primary. Communities like this will decide the state.

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